Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Psephos: Adam Carr's Election Archive
Australian federal election 2019
List of seats in pendulum order
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Very safe Liberal/National
Bradfield, NSW (Liberal over Labor 21.0%)
Curtin, WA (Liberal over Labor 20.7%)
Farrer, NSW (Liberal over Labor 20.5%)
Mallee, Vic (Nationals over Labor 19.8%)
Gippsland, Vic (Nationals over Labor 18.2%)
Mitchell, NSW (Liberal over Labor 17.8%)
Wentworth, NSW (Liberal over Labor 17.7%)
Maranoa, Qld (Nationals over Labor 17.5%)
Berowra, NSW (Liberal over Labor 16.4%)
Riverina, NSW (Nationals over Labor 16.4%)
Safe Liberal/National
Mackellar, NSW (Liberal over Labor 15.7%)
Cook, NSW (Liberal over Labor 15.4%)
Groom, Qld (Liberal over Labor 15.3%)
Parkes, NSW (Nationals over Labor 15.1%)
O'Connor, WA (Liberal over Labor 15.0%)
Moncrieff, Qld (Liberal over Labor 14.5%)
North Sydney, NSW (Liberal over Labor 13.6%)
Kooyong, Vic (Liberal over Labor 12.8%)
Goldstein, Vic (Liberal over Labor 12.7%)
Forrest, WA (Liberal over Labor 12.6%)
Fairly safe Liberal/National
Calare, NSW (Nationals over Labor 11.8%)
Lyne, NSW (Nationals over Labor 11.6%)
McPherson, Qld (Liberal over Labor 11.6%)
Fadden, Qld (Liberal over Labor 11.2%)
Durack, WA (Liberal over Labor 11.1%)
Tangney, WA (Liberal over Labor 11.1%)
Warringah, NSW (Liberal over Labor 11.1%)
Fairfax, Qld (Liberal over Labor 11.0%)
Moore, WA (Liberal over Labor 11.0%)
Hume, NSW (Liberal over Labor 10.2%)
Bennelong, NSW (Liberal over Labor 9.7%)
Wright, Qld (Liberal over Labor 9.6%)
Hughes, NSW (Liberal over Labor 9.3%)
Wannon, Vic (Liberal over Labor 9.3%)
Fisher, Qld (Liberal over Labor 9.2%)
Ryan, Qld (Liberal over Labor 8.8%)
Hinkler, Qld (Nationals over Labor 8.4%)
Wide Bay, Qld (Nationals over Labor 8.3%)
Marginal Liberal/National
Menzies, Vic (Liberal over Labor 7.9%)
Aston, Vic (Liberal over Labor 7.6%)
Monash, Vic (Liberal over Labor 7.6%)
Flinders, Vic (Liberal over Labor 7.2%)
Bowman, Qld (Liberal over Labor 7.1%)
Canning, WA (Liberal over Labor 6.8%)
Deakin, Vic (Liberal over Labor 6.3%)
Stirling, WA (Liberal over Labor 6.1%)
Brisbane, Qld (Liberal over Labor 6.0%)
Sturt, SA (Liberal over Labor 5.8%)
Reid, NSW (Liberal over Labor 4.7%)
Casey, Vic (Liberal over Labor 4.5%)
Leichhardt, Qld (Liberal over Labor 4.0%)
Very marginal Liberal/National
Pearce, WA (Liberal over Labor 3.6%)
Swan, WA (Liberal over Labor 3.6%)
La Trobe, Vic (Liberal over Labor 3.5%)
Bonner, Qld (Liberal over Labor 3.4%)
Chisholm, Vic (Liberal over Labor 3.4%)
Dawson, Qld (Nationals over Labor 3.3%)
Boothby, SA (Liberal over Labor 2.8%)
Page, NSW (National over Labor 2.3%)
Hasluck, WA (Liberal over Labor 2.1%)
Dickson, Qld (Liberal over Labor 2.0%)
Petrie, Qld (Liberal over Labor 1.6%)
Banks, NSW (Liberal over Labor 1.4%)
Robertson, NSW (Liberal over Labor 1.1%)
Swing needed for Labor majority: 1.1%
Flynn, Qld (Nationals over Labor 1.0%)
Gilmore, NSW (Liberal over Labor 0.7%)
Capricornia, Qld (Nationals over Labor 0.6%)
Forde, Qld (Liberal over Labor 0.6%)
Corangamite, Vic (Liberal over Labor 0.0%)
Very marginal Labor
Herbert, Qld (Labor over Liberal 0.0%)
Cowan, WA (Labor over Liberal 0.7%)
Longman, Qld (Labor over Liberal 0.8%)
Lindsay, NSW (Labor over Liberal 1.1%)
Dunkley, Vic (Labor over Liberal 1.3%)
Macnamara, Vic (Labor over Liberal 1.3%)
Griffith, Qld (Labor over Liberal 1.4%)
Braddon, Tas (Labor over Liberal 1.5%)
Macquarie, NSW (Labor over Liberal 2.2%)
Isaacs, Vic (Labor over Liberal 2.3%)
Eden-Monaro, NSW (Labor over Liberal 2.9%)
Perth, WA (Labor over Liberal 3.3%)
Bendigo, Vic (Labor over Liberal 3.9%)
Marginal Labor
Lyons, Tas (Labor over Liberal 4.0%)
Moreton, Qld (Labor over Liberal 4.0%)
Richmond, NSW (Labor over Nationals 4.0%)
Hotham, Vic (Labor over Liberal 4.2%)
Dobell, NSW (Labor over Liberal 4.8%)
Jagajaga, Vic (Labor over Liberal 5.0%)
Bass, Tas (Labor over Liberal 5.3%)
McEwen, Vic (Labor over Liberal 5.3)
Lilley, Qld (Labor over Liberal 5.8%)
Solomon, NT (Labor over CLP 6.1%)
Greenway, NSW (Labor over Liberal 6.3%)
Burt, WA (Labor over Liberal 7.1%)
Ballarat, Vic (Labor over Liberal 7.4%)
Fremantle, WA (Labor over Liberal 7.5%)
Parramatta, NSW (Labor over Liberal 7.7%)
Fairly safe Labor
Blair, Qld (Labor over Liberal 8.0%)
Lingiari, NT (Labor over CLP 8.1%)
Hindmarsh, SA (Labor over Liberal 8.2%)
Werriwa, NSW (Labor over Liberal 8.2%)
Barton, NSW (Labor over Liberal 8.3%)
Corio, Vic (Labor over Liberal 8.3%)
Macarthur, NSW (Labor over Liberal 8.3%)
Kingsford Smith, NSW (Labor over Liberal 8.6%)
Bean, ACT (Labor over Liberal 8.9%)
Adelaide, SA (Labor over Liberal 9.0%)
Oxley, Qld (Labor over Liberal 9.1%)
Maribyrnong, Vic (Labor over Liberal 9.4%)
Holt, Vic (Labor over Liberal 9.9%)
Shortland, NSW (Labor over Liberal 9.9%)
Franklin, Tas (Labor over Liberal 10.7%)
Paterson, NSW (Labor over Liberal 10.7%)
Makin, SA (Labor over Liberal 10.9%)
Rankin, Qld (Labor over Liberal 11.3%)
Brand, WA (Labor over Liberal 11.4%)
Fenner, ACT (Labor over Liberal 11.6%)
Safe Labor
McMahon, NSW (Labor over Liberal 12.1%)
Hunter, NSW (Labor over Liberal 12.5%)
Canberra, ACT (Labor over Liberal 13.2%)
Cunningham, NSW (Labor over Liberal 13.3%)
Kingston, SA (Labor over Liberal 13.5%)
Whitlam, NSW (Labor over Liberal 13.7%)
Newcastle, NSW (Labor over Liberal 13.8%)
Lalor, Vic (Labor over Liberal 14.4%)
Gellibrand, Vic (Labor over Liberal 14.7%)
Sydney, NSW (Labor over Liberal 15.3%)
Bruce, Vic (Labor over Liberal 15.7%)
Very safe Labor
Fowler, NSW (Labor over Liberal 17.5%)
Watson, NSW (Labor over Liberal 17.6%)
Spence, SA (Labor over Liberal 17.9%)
Gorton, Vic (Labor over Liberal 18.3%)
Chifley, NSW (Labor over Liberal 19.2%)
Blaxland, NSW (Labor over Liberal 19.5%)
Calwell, Vic (Labor over Liberal 20.1%)
Scullin, Vic (Labor over Liberal 20.4%)
Fraser, Vic (Labor over Liberal 20.6%)
Non-two-party seats
Barker, SA (Liberal over NXT 4.7%)
Clark, Tas (Independent over Labor 17.8%)
Cooper, Vic (Labor over Greens 0.6%)
Cowper, NSW (Nationals over Independent 4.6%)
Grayndler, NSW (Labor over Greens 15.8%)
Grey, SA (Liberal over NXT 2.0%)
Higgins, Vic (Liberal over Greens 8.0%)
Kennedy, Qld (KAP over Nationals 11.1%)
Indi, Vic (Independent over Liberal 4.1%)
Mayo, SA (NXT over Liberal 5.5%)
Melbourne, Vic (Greens over Labor 19.0%)
New England, NSW (Nationals over independent 8.5%)
Nicholls, Vic (Nationals over Liberal 5.1%)
Wills, Vic (Labor over Greens 4.9%)
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