ELECTIONS FOR THE DIVISION OF PATERSON, NEW SOUTH WALES ==================================================================== ELECTION OF 13 MARCH 1993 ==================================================================== North Central NSW: Gloucester, Maitland, Nelson Bay, Raymond Terrace -------------------------------------------------------------------- New seat: Notional two-party majority: Liberal over ALP 00.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Enrolled voters: 73,387 Votes cast: 71,180 97.0 Informal votes: 1,688 02.4 Formal votes: 69,492 97.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Candidate Party Votes % Swing -------------------------------------------------------------------- Alan McDonald 810 01.2 Bernadette Smith Grn 1,981 02.9 Rodger Riach AD 1,396 02.0 -12.7 Bob Roberts + Lib 24,510 35.3 +20.0 Ron Franks 421 00.6 Bernie Neville 1,295 01.9 Bruce MacKenzie 1,348 01.9 Bob Horne ALP 33,012 47.5 +07.1 Gary Watson NPA 4,719 06.8 -22.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 69,492 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Roberts was NSW MLA for Cessnock 1988-91. -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2nd count: Franks's 421 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- McDonald 29 07.1 839 01.2 Smith 38 09.3 2,019 02.9 Riach 38 09.3 1,434 02.1 Roberts + 78 19.1 24,588 35.4 Neville 98 24.0 1,393 02.0 MacKenzie 16 03.9 1,364 02.0 Horne 65 15.9 33,077 47.6 Watson 46 11.3 4,765 06.9 (exhausted 13 13 ) -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 421 69,492 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 3rd count: McDonald's 839 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Smith 529 63.7 2,548 03.7 Riach 100 12.1 1,534 02.2 Roberts + 57 06.9 24,645 35.5 Neville 32 03.9 1,425 02.1 MacKenzie 15 01.8 1,369 02.0 Horne 62 07.5 33,139 47.7 Watson 35 04.2 4,800 06.9 (exhausted 9 22 ) -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 839 69,492 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 4th count: MacKenzie's 1,369 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Smith 87 06.3 2,635 03.8 Riach 70 05.1 1,604 02.3 Roberts + 509 37.0 25,154 36.2 Neville 303 22.0 1,728 02.5 Horne 257 18.7 33,396 48.1 Watson 150 10.9 4,950 07.1 (exhausted 3 25 ) -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,369 69,492 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 5th count: Riach's 1,604 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Smith 657 41.1 3,292 04.7 Roberts + 186 11.6 25,340 36.5 Neville 276 17.3 2,004 02.9 Horne 366 22.9 33,762 48.6 Watson 114 07.1 5,064 07.3 (exhausted 5 30 ) -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,604 69,492 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 6th count: Neville's 2,004 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Smith 631 31.6 3,923 05.7 Roberts + 448 22.4 25,788 37.1 Horne 524 26.3 34,286 49.4 Watson 393 19.7 5,457 07.9 (exhausted 8 38 ) -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 2,004 69,492 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 7th count: Smith's 3,923 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Roberts + 1,371 35.1 27,159 39.1 HORNE 1,844 47.2 36,130 52.0 Watson 692 17.7 6,149 08.9 (exhausted 16 54 ) -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 3,923 69,492 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 8th count: Watson's 6,149 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Roberts + 5,262 85.7 32,421 46.7 HORNE 876 14.3 37,006 53.3 (exhausted 11 65 ) -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 6,149 69,492 03.3 03.4 to ALP -------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert Hodges Horne (born 1939): Elected 1993 Born: 18 December 1939, Newcastle, NSW Career: Newcastle University. Teacher. Dungog Shire Council 1987-91. Port Stephens Shire Council 1991-93, Shire President. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ELECTION OF 2 MARCH 1996 ==================================================================== North Central NSW: Gloucester, Maitland, Nelson Bay, Raymond Terrace -------------------------------------------------------------------- 1993 two-party majority: ALP over Liberal 03.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Enrolled voters: 78,499 +07.0 Votes cast: 76,424 97.4 +00.4 Informal votes: 1,730 02.3 -00.1 Formal votes: 74,694 97.7 +00.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Candidate Party Votes % Swing -------------------------------------------------------------------- Tervor Carrick CTA 1,829 02.5 Jan Davis Grn 2,647 03.5 +00.7 Bob Symington AD 3,727 05.0 +03.0 Bob Horne * ALP 32,378 43.4 -04.2 Bob Baldwin Lib 34,113 45.7 +10.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 74,694 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2nd count: Carrick's 1,829 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Davis 371 20.6 3,018 04.0 Symington 229 12.7 3,956 05.3 Horne * 229 12.7 32,607 43.7 Baldwin 974 54.0 35,087 47.0 (exhausted 26 26 ) -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,829 74,694 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 3rd count: Davis's 3,018 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Symington 1,645 55.2 5,601 07.5 Horne * 950 31.9 33,557 45.0 Baldwin 387 13.0 35,474 47.5 (exhausted 36 62 ) -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 3,018 74,694 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 4th count: Symington's 5,601 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Horne * 3,328 61.9 36,885 49.6 BALDWIN 2,045 38.1 37,519 50.4 (exhausted 228 290 ) -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 5,601 74,694 00.4 03.7 to Lib -------------------------------------------------------------------- > Robert Hodges Horne (born 1939): Elected 1993. Defeated 1996 Later career: See Paterson 1998 > Robert Charles Baldwin (born 1955): Elected 1996 Born: 9 March 1955, Gloucester, United Kingdom Career: To Australia in youth. Building investigation officer, manager, lecturer. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ELECTION OF 3 OCTOBER 1998 ==================================================================== North Central NSW: Gloucester, Maitland, Nelson Bay, Raymond Terrace -------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996 two-party majority: Liberal over ALP 00.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Enrolled voters: 81,181 +03.4 Votes cast: 79,308 97.7 +00.3 Informal votes: 2,643 03.3 +01.0 Formal votes: 76,665 96.7 -01.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Candidate Party Votes % Swing -------------------------------------------------------------------- Anthony King 666 00.9 Andrew Buchan 448 00.6 Bob Horne ALP 33,066 43.1 -00.2 Bob Baldwin * Lib 31,212 40.7 -05.0 Michelle Moffat 608 00.8 Jan Davis Grn 1,577 02.1 -01.5 Geoffrey Rutledge AD 1,467 01.9 -03.1 Paul Fuller ON 6,355 08.3 Paul Unger 145 00.2 Alison Dellit 164 00.2 David Murray CDP 957 01.2 -01.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 76,665 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Horne was member for Paterson 1993-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2nd count: Unger's 145 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- King 6 04.1 672 00.9 Buchan 19 13.1 467 00.6 Horne 17 11.7 33,083 43.2 Baldwin * 19 13.1 31,231 40.7 Moffat 24 16.6 632 00.8 Davis 16 11.0 1,593 02.1 Rutledge 8 05.5 1,475 01.9 Fuller 18 12.4 6,373 12.4 Dellit 13 09.0 177 00.2 Murray 5 03.4 962 01.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 145 76,665 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 3rd count: Dellit's 177 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- King 2 01.1 674 00.9 Buchan 4 02.3 471 00.6 Horne 23 13.0 33,106 43.2 Baldwin * 20 11.3 31,251 40.8 Moffat 16 09.0 648 00.8 Davis 34 19.2 1,627 02.1 Rutledge 39 22.0 1,514 02.0 Fuller 16 09.0 6,389 08.3 Murray 23 13.0 985 01.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 177 76,665 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 4th count: Buchan's 471 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- King 115 24.4 789 01.0 Horne 105 22.3 33,211 43.3 Baldwin * 53 11.3 31,304 40.8 Moffat 93 19.7 741 01.0 Davis 27 05.7 1,654 02.2 Rutledge 32 06.8 1,546 02.0 Fuller 38 08.1 6,427 08.4 Murray 8 01.7 993 01.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 471 76,665 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 4th count: Buchan's 471 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- King 115 24.4 789 01.0 Horne 105 22.3 33,211 43.3 Baldwin * 53 11.3 31,304 40.8 Moffat 93 19.7 741 01.0 Davis 27 05.7 1,654 02.2 Rutledge 32 06.8 1,546 02.0 Fuller 38 08.1 6,427 08.4 Murray 8 01.7 993 01.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 471 76,665 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 5th count: Moffat's 741 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- King 43 05.8 832 01.1 Horne 140 18.9 33,351 43.5 Baldwin * 268 36.2 31,572 41.2 Davis 114 15.4 1,768 02.3 Rutledge 72 09.7 1,618 02.1 Fuller 82 11.1 6,509 08.5 Murray 22 03.0 1,015 01.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 741 76,665 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 6th count: King's 832 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Horne 433 52.0 33,784 44.1 Baldwin * 101 12.1 31,673 41.3 Davis 44 05.3 1,812 02.4 Rutledge 44 05.3 1,662 02.2 Fuller 180 21.6 6,689 08.7 Murray 30 03.6 1,045 01.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 832 76,665 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 7th count: Murray's 1,045 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Horne 159 15.2 33,943 44.3 Baldwin * 548 52.4 32,221 42.0 Davis 56 05.4 1,868 02.4 Rutledge 116 11.1 1,778 02.3 Fuller 166 15.9 6,855 08.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,045 76,665 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 8th count: Rutledge's 1,778 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Horne 504 28.3 34,447 44.9 Baldwin * 474 26.7 32,695 42.6 Davis 627 35.3 2,495 03.2 Fuller 173 09.7 7,028 09.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,778 76,665 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 9th count: Davis's 2,495 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Horne 1,504 60.3 35,951 46.9 Baldwin * 590 23.6 33,285 43.4 Fuller 401 16.1 7,429 09.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 2,495 76,665 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 10th count: Fuller's 7,429 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- HORNE 3,317 44.6 39,268 51.2 Baldwin * 4,112 55.4 37,397 48.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 7,429 76,665 01.2 01.6 to ALP -------------------------------------------------------------------- > Robert Charles Baldwin (born 1955): Elected 1996. Defeated 1998 Later career: See Paterson 2001 > Robert Hodges Horne (born 1939): Elected 1993. Defeated 1996. Elected 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------- ELECTION OF 10 NOVEMBER 2001 ==================================================================== North Central NSW: Gloucester, Maitland, Nelson Bay, Raymond Terrace -------------------------------------------------------------------- 1998 two-party majority: ALP over Liberal 01.2 Effect of redistribution: 02.5 shift to Liberal New notional majority: Liberal over ALP 01.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Enrolled voters: 82,260 +01.3 Votes cast: 80,011 97.3 -00.4 Informal votes: 2,890 03.6 +00.3 Formal votes: 77,121 96.4 -00.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Candidate Party Votes % Swing -------------------------------------------------------------------- Bob Horne * ALP 31,430 40.7 +00.2 Ian Shaw NPA 5,544 07.2 -02.5 Sharon Davies AD 1,979 02.6 +00.4 Aina Ranke Grn 2,095 02.7 +00.9 Paul Hennelly 720 00.9 Bob Baldwin + Lib 30,781 39.9 +07.2 Tony King 339 00.4 Paul Cary ON 4,233 05.5 -03.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 77,121 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 1. Following the redistribution, the Liberals are shown as the defending party. 2. Baldwin was MP for Paterson 1996-98. -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2nd count: King's 339 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Horne * 87 25.7 31,517 40.9 Shaw 44 13.0 5,588 07.2 Davies 13 03.8 1,992 02.6 Ranke 29 08.5 2,124 02.7 Hennelly 38 11.2 758 01.0 Baldwin 53 15.6 30,834 40.0 Cary 75 22.1 4,308 05.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 339 77,121 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 3rd count: Hennelly's 758 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Horne * 194 25.6 31,711 41.1 Shaw 48 06.3 5,588 07.2 Davies 49 06.5 2,041 02.6 Ranke 187 24.7 2,311 03.0 Baldwin 107 14.1 30,941 40.1 Cary 173 22.8 4,481 05.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 758 77,121 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 4th count: Davies's 2,041 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Horne * 669 32.8 32,380 42.0 Shaw 242 11.9 5,878 07.6 Ranke 805 39.4 3,116 04.0 Baldwin 209 10.2 31,150 40.4 Cary 116 05.7 4,597 06.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 2,041 77,121 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 5th count: Ranke's 3,116 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Horne * 1,730 55.5 34,110 44.2 Shaw 551 17.7 6,429 08.3 Baldwin 452 14.5 31,602 41.0 Cary 383 12.3 4,980 06.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 3,116 77,121 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 6th count: Cary's 4,980 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Horne * 1,592 32.0 35,702 46.3 Shaw 2,045 41.1 8,474 11.0 Baldwin 1,343 26.9 32,945 42.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 4,980 77,121 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 7th count: Shaw's 8,474 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Horne * 1,761 20.8 37,463 48.6 BALDWIN 6,713 79.2 39,658 51.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 8,474 77,121 01.4 00.2 to Lib -------------------------------------------------------------------- > Robert Hodges Horne (born 1939): Elected 1993. Defeated 1996. Elected 1998. Defeated 2001 > Robert Charles Baldwin (born 1955): Elected 1996. Defeated 1998. Elected 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------- ELECTION OF 9 OCTOBER 2004 ==================================================================== North Central NSW: Gloucester, Maitland, Nelson Bay, Raymond Terrace -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2001 two-party majority: Liberal over ALP 01.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Enrolled voters: 88,057 +07.0 Votes cast: 84,603 96.1 -01.2 Informal votes: 5,183 06.1 +02.5 Formal votes: 79,420 93.9 -02.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Candidate Party Votes % Swing -------------------------------------------------------------------- Bruce McKenzie 987 01.2 Neil Smith 351 00.4 Paul Hennelly 778 01.0 Mike Tuffy 677 00.8 Bob BALDWIN * Lib 41,289 52.0 +12.1 Brett Paterson AD 577 00.7 -01.8 Charlie Griffith ON 1,417 01.8 -03.7 Larissa Robb FF 681 00.9 Tony King 727 00.9 Giovanna Kozary ALP 28,633 36.1 -04.7 Aina Ranke Grn 3,303 04.2 +01.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 79,420 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2nd count: Smith's 351 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- McKenzie 76 21.7 1,063 01.3 Hennelly 34 09.7 812 01.0 Tuffy 126 35.9 803 01.0 BALDWIN * 39 11.1 41,328 52.0 Paterson 15 04.3 592 00.8 Griffith 15 04.3 1,432 01.8 Robb 6 01.7 687 00.9 King 4 01.1 731 00.9 Kozary 22 06.3 28,655 36.1 Ranke 14 04.0 3,317 04.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 351 79,420 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 3rd count: Paterson's 592 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- McKenzie 52 08.8 1,115 01.4 Hennelly 23 03.9 835 01.1 Tuffy 72 12.2 875 01.1 BALDWIN * 126 21.3 41,454 52.2 Griffith 45 07.6 1,477 01.9 Robb 43 07.3 730 00.9 King 24 04.1 755 01.0 Kozary 114 19.3 28,769 36.2 Ranke 93 15.7 3,410 04.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 592 79,420 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 4th count: Robb's 730 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- McKenzie 52 07.1 1,167 01.5 Hennelly 32 04.4 867 01.1 Tuffy 46 06.3 921 01.2 BALDWIN * 286 39.2 41,740 52.6 Griffith 70 09.6 1,547 02.0 King 49 06.7 804 01.0 Kozary 110 15.1 28,879 36.4 Ranke 85 11.6 3,495 04.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 730 79,420 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 5th count: King's 804 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- McKenzie 68 08.5 1,235 01.6 Hennelly 43 05.4 910 01.2 Tuffy 79 09.8 1,000 01.3 BALDWIN * 122 15.2 41,862 52.7 Griffith 109 13.6 1,656 02.1 Kozary 308 38.3 29,187 36.8 Ranke 75 09.3 3,570 04.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 804 79,420 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 6th count: Hennelly's 910 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- McKenzie 215 23.6 1,450 01.8 Tuffy 137 15.1 1,137 01.4 BALDWIN * 176 19.3 42,038 52.9 Griffith 129 14.2 1,785 02.3 Kozary 141 15.5 29,328 36.9 Ranke 112 12.3 3,682 04.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 910 79,420 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 7th count: Tuffy's 1,137 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- McKenzie 273 24.0 1,723 02.2 BALDWIN * 329 28.9 42,367 53.4 Griffith 164 14.4 1,949 02.5 Kozary 236 20.8 29,564 37.2 Ranke 135 11.9 3,817 04.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,137 79,420 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 8th count: McKenzie's 1,723 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- BALDWIN * 934 54.2 43,301 54.5 Griffith 332 19.3 2,281 02.9 Kozary 241 14.0 29,805 37.5 Ranke 216 12.5 4,033 05.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,723 79,420 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 9th count: Griffith's 2,281 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- BALDWIN * 1,030 45.2 44,331 55.8 Kozary 733 32.1 30,538 38.5 Ranke 518 22.7 4,551 05.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 2,281 79,420 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 10th count: Ranke's 4,551 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- BALDWIN * 913 20.1 45,244 57.0 Kozary 3,638 79.9 34,176 43.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 4,551 79,420 07.0 05.5 to Lib -------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert Charles Baldwin (born 1955): Elected 1996. Defeated 1998. Elected 2001, 2004 Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister for Industry, Tourism and Resources from 27 January 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------- ELECTION OF 24 NOVEMBER 2007 ==================================================================== NSW North Coast: Dungog, Gloucester, Maitland, Nelson Bay -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2004 two-party majority: Liberal over Labor 07.0 Effect of 2006 redistribution: 00.2 shift to Labor 2007 notional two-party majority: Liberal over Labor 06.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Enrolled voters: 90,504 +02.8 Votes cast: 87,022 96.2 +00.1 Informal votes: 3,106 03.6 -02.5 Formal votes: 83,916 96.4 +02.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Candidate Party Votes % Swing -------------------------------------------------------------------- Jim Arneman ALP 35,291 42.1 +05.8 Paul Hennelly 1,073 01.3 Judy Donnelly Grn 4,344 05.2 +00.7 Christopher Stokes FF 559 00.7 -00.3 Tony King 341 00.4 Heather Haynes CDP 1,010 01.2 +00.8 John Hamberger ON 832 01.0 -01.0 Hon Bob Baldwin * Lib 40,466 48.2 +01.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 83,916 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2nd count: King's 341 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Arneman 81 23.8 35,372 42.2 Hennelly 39 11.4 1,112 01.3 Donnelly 30 08.8 4,374 05.1 Stokes 39 11.4 598 00.7 Haynes 33 09.7 1,043 01.2 Hamberger 42 12.3 874 01.0 Baldwin * 77 22.6 40,543 48.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 341 83,916 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 3rd count: Stokes's 598 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Arneman 127 21.2 35,499 42.3 Hennelly 69 11.5 1,181 01.4 Donnelly 147 24.6 4,521 05.4 Haynes 102 17.1 1,145 01.4 Hamberger 46 07.7 920 01.1 Baldwin * 107 17.9 40,650 48.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 598 83,916 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 4th count: Hamberger's 920 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Arneman 197 21.4 35,696 42.5 Hennelly 184 20.0 1,365 01.6 Donnelly 138 15.0 4,659 05.6 Haynes 114 12.4 1,259 01.5 Baldwin * 287 31.2 40,937 48.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 920 83,916 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 5th count: Haynes's 1,259 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Arneman 187 14.9 35,883 42.8 Hennelly 125 09.9 1,490 01.8 Donnelly 169 13.4 4,828 05.8 Baldwin * 778 61.8 41,715 49.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,259 83,916 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 6th count: Hennelly's 1,490 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Arneman 586 39.3 36,469 43.5 Donnelly 413 27.7 5,241 06.3 BALDWIN * 491 33.0 42,206 50.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,490 83,916 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 7th count: Donnelly's 5,241 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Arneman 4,219 80.5 40,688 48.5 BALDWIN * 1,022 19.5 43,228 51.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 5,241 83,916 01.5 04.8 to ALP -------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert Charles Baldwin (born 1955): Elected 1996. Defeated 1998. Elected 2001, 2004, 2007 Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister for Industry, Tourism and Resources to 3 December 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------- ELECTION OF 21 AUGUST 2010 ==================================================================== NSW North Coast: Dungog, Forster, East Maitland, Nelson Bay -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2007 two-party majority: Liberal over Labor 01.5 Effect of 2009 redistribution: 00.9 shift to Labor 2010 notional two-party majority: Liberal over Labor 00.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Enrolled voters: 92,149 +01.8 Votes cast: 87,310 94.8 -01.4 Informal votes: 4,924 05.6 +02.0 Formal votes: 82,386 94.4 -02.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Candidate Party Votes % Swing -------------------------------------------------------------------- Kevin Leayr ON 1,044 01.3 Anna Balfour CDP 870 01.1 -00.2 Veronica Lambert FF 674 00.8 +00.2 Jan Davis Grn 4,936 06.0 +00.7 Hon Bob BALDWIN * Lib 42,262 51.3 +04.7 Jim Arneman ALP 31,522 38.3 -04.7 Paul Hennelly 379 00.5 Josef Wiedenhorn 699 00.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 82,386 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2nd count: Hennelly's 379 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Leayr 32 08.4 1,076 01.3 Balfour 6 01.6 876 01.1 Lambert 18 04.8 692 00.8 Davis 22 05.8 4,958 06.0 BALDWIN * 146 38.5 42,408 51.5 Arneman 59 15.6 31,581 38.3 Wiedenhorn 96 25.3 795 01.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 379 78,317 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 3rd count: Lambert's 692 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Leayr 82 11.9 1,158 01.4 Balfour 155 22.4 1,031 01.3 Davis 124 17.9 5,082 06.2 BALDWIN * 126 18.2 42,534 51.6 Arneman 129 18.6 31,710 38.5 Wiedenhorn 76 11.0 871 01.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 692 78,317 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 4th count: Wiedenhorn's 871 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Leayr 199 22.9 1,357 01.7 Balfour 65 07.5 1,096 01.3 Davis 174 20.0 5,256 06.4 BALDWIN * 170 19.5 42,704 51.8 Arneman 263 30.2 31,973 38.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 871 78,317 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 5th count: Balfour's 1,096 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Leayr 215 19.6 1,572 01.9 Davis 116 10.6 5,372 06.5 BALDWIN * 654 59.7 43,358 52.6 Arneman 111 10.1 32,084 38.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,096 78,317 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 6th count: Leayr's 1,572 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Davis 674 42.9 6,046 07.3 BALDWIN * 531 33.8 43,889 53.3 Arneman 367 23.4 32,451 39.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,572 78,317 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 7th count: Davis's 6,046 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- BALDWIN * 1,693 28.0 45,582 55.3 Arneman 4,353 72.0 36,804 44.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 6,046 78,317 05.3 04.8 to Lib -------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert Charles Baldwin (born 1955): Elected 1996. Defeated 1998. Elected 2001, 2004, 2007, 2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------- ELECTION OF 7 SEPTEMBER 2013 ==================================================================== NSW North Coast: Dungog, Forster, East Maitland, Nelson Bay -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2010 two-party majority: Liberal over Labor 05.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Enrolled voters: 97,107 +05.4 Votes cast: 91,863 94.6 -00.2 Informal votes: 4,746 05.2 -00.4 Formal votes: 87,118 04.8 +00.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Candidate Party Votes % Swing -------------------------------------------------------------------- Anna Balfour CDP 1,854 02.1 +01.1 Jayson Packett PUP 5,451 06.3 Peter Davis 390 00.5 Bob Holz 877 01.0 John Brown 5,812 06.7 +00.7 Bay Marshall ALP 25,811 29.6 -08.6 Hon Bob BALDWIN * Lib 46,922 53.9 +02.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 87,118 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2nd count: Davis's 390 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Balfour 47 12.1 1,901 02.2 Packett 99 25.4 5,550 06.4 Holz 98 25.1 975 01.1 Brown 49 12.6 5,861 06.7 Marshall 48 12.2 25,859 29.7 BALDWIN * 49 12.6 46,971 53.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 390 87,118 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 3rd count: Holz's 975 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Balfour 235 24.1 2,126 02.5 Packett 270 27.7 5,820 06.7 Brown 186 19.1 6,047 06.9 Marshall 140 14.4 25,999 29.8 BALDWIN * 144 14.8 47,115 54.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 975 87,118 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 4th count: Balfour's 2,126 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Packett 771 36.1 6,591 07.6 Brown 148 06.9 6,195 07.1 Marshall 211 09.9 26,210 30.1 BALDWIN * 1,006 47.1 48,121 55.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 2,126 87,118 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 5th count: Brown's 6,195 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Packett 900 14.5 7,491 08.6 Marshall 4,474 72.2 30,684 35.2 BALDWIN * 821 13.3 48,942 56.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 6,195 87,118 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 6th count: Packett's 7,491 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Marshall 4,353 58.1 35,037 40.2 BALDWIN * 3,138 41.9 52,080 59.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 7,491 87,118 09.8 04.5 to Lib -------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert Charles Baldwin (born 1955): Elected 1996. Defeated 1998. Elected 2001, 2004, 2007, 2010, 2013 Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister for Industry 18 September 2013 to 23 December 2014 Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister for the Environment 23 December 2014 to 21 September 2015 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Baldwin retired at the 2016 election. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ELECTION OF 2 JULY 2016 ==================================================================== North Central NSW: Kurri Kurri, Maitland, Nelson Bay, Raymond Terrace -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2013 two-party majority: Liberal over Labor 09.8 Effect of 2016 redistribution: 10.1 to Labor 2016 notional two-party majority: Labor over Liberal 00.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Enrolled voters: 112,541 +15.9 Votes cast: 105,211 93.5 -01.1 Informal votes: 5,143 04.9 -00.3 Formal votes: 100,068 95.1 +00.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Candidate Party Votes % Swing -------------------------------------------------------------------- Graham Burston ON 13,056 13.1 +11.6 Brian Clare RUA 1,007 01.0 +00.5 John Brown Grn 5,797 05.8 -00.6 Meryl Swanson + ALP 46,090 46.1 +06.2 Peter Davis 533 00.5 Karen Howard Lib 31,527 31.5 +00.6 Peter Arena CDP 2,058 02.1 -00.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 100,068 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 1. In 2013 the Nationals polled 10.6% in the areas formerly in Hunter. The notional combined Coalition vote in Paterson was therefore 41.5%. The Liberal vote of 31.5% is therefore a drop of 10.0%. 2. Following the redistribution, Labor is shown as the defending party. -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2nd count: Davis's 533 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Burston 113 21.2 13,169 13.2 Clare 95 17.8 1,102 01.1 Brown 75 14.1 5,872 05.9 Swanson + 111 20.8 46,201 46.2 Howard 87 16.3 31,614 31.6 Arena 52 09.8 2,110 02.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 533 100,068 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 3rd count: Clare's 1,102 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Burston 558 50.6 13,727 13.7 Brown 167 15.2 6,039 06.0 Swanson + 159 14.4 46,360 46.3 Howard 89 08.1 31,703 31.7 Arena 129 11.7 2,239 02.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,102 100,068 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 4th count: Arena's 2,239 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Burston 656 29.3 14,383 14.4 Brown 143 06.4 6,182 06.2 Swanson + 312 13.9 46,672 46.6 Howard 1,128 50.4 32,831 32.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 2,239 100,068 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 5th count: Brown's 6,182 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Burston 937 15.2 15,320 15.3 SWANSON + 4,465 72.2 51,137 51.1 Howard 780 12.6 33,611 33.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 6,182 100,068 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 6th count: Burston's 15,320 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- SWANSON + 9,642 62.9 60,779 60.7 Howard 5,678 37.1 39,289 39.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 15,320 100,068 10.7 10.5 to ALP -------------------------------------------------------------------- Meryl Jane Swanson (born 1970): Elected 2016 Born: 3 September 1970, Kurri Kurri NSW. Career: Educated University of Newcastle. Radio presenter and producer. Staffer to Hon Joel Fitzgibbon MP. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ELECTION OF 18 MAY 2019 ==================================================================== North Central NSW: Kurri Kurri, Maitland, Neith, Nelson Bay, Raymond Terrace -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2016 two-party majority: Labor over Liberal 10.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Enrolled voters: 122,820 +09.1 Votes cast: 114,513 93.2 -00.3 Informal votes: 6,694 05.9 +01.0 Formal votes: 107,819 94.1 -01.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Candidate Party Votes % Swing -------------------------------------------------------------------- Sachin Joshi Lib 35,059 32.5 +01.0 Neil Turner PHON 15,269 14.2 +01.1 Meryl Swanson * ALP 44,288 41.1 -05.0 Graham Burston UAP 3,888 03.6 Jan Davis Grn 7,439 06.9 +01.1 Christoper Vale CDP 1,876 01.7 -00.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 107,819 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2nd count: Vale's 1,876 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Joshi 944 50.3 36,003 33.4 Turner 286 15.3 15,555 14.4 Swanson * 196 10.5 44,484 41.3 Burston 237 12.6 4,125 03.8 Davis 213 11.4 7,652 07.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,876 107,819 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 3rd count: Burston's 4,125 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Joshi 1,070 25.9 37,073 34.4 Turner 1,895 45.9 17,450 16.2 Swanson * 687 16.7 45,171 41.9 Davis 473 11.5 8,125 07.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 4,125 107,819 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 4th count: Davis's 8,125 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Joshi 1,205 14.8 38,278 35.5 Turner 1,101 13.6 18,551 17.2 Swanson * 5,819 71.6 50,990 47.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 8,125 107,819 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 5th count: Turner's 18,551 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Joshi 10,193 55.0 48,471 45.0 SWANSON * 8,358 45.0 59,348 55.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 18,551 107,819 05.0 05.7 to Lib -------------------------------------------------------------------- Meryl Jane Swanson (born 1970): Elected 2016, 2019 -------------------------------------------------------------------- ELECTION OF 21 MAY 2022 ==================================================================== North Central NSW: Kurri Kurri, Maitland, Neith, Nelson Bay, Raymond Terrace -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2019 two-party majority: Labor over Liberal 05.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Enrolled voters: 132,040 +07.5 Votes cast: 121,027 91.7 -01.5 Informal votes: 6,142 05.1 -00.8 Formal votes: 114,885 94.9 +00.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Candidate Party Votes % Swing -------------------------------------------------------------------- Neil Turner PHON 9,363 08.2 -06.0 Brooke Vitnell Lib 42,142 36.7 +04.2 Meryl Swanson * ALP 46,725 40.7 -00.4 Angela Ketas IMOP 1,883 01.6 Louise Ihlein Grn 8,677 07.6 +00.7 Sonia Bailey LDP 1,621 01.4 Jason Olbourne UAP 4,474 03.9 +00.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 114,885 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2nd count: Bailey's 1,621 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Turner 285 17.6 9,648 08.4 Vitnell 484 29.9 42,626 37.1 Swanson * 195 12.0 46,920 40.8 Ketas 125 07.7 2,008 01.8 Ihlein 152 09.4 8,829 07.7 Olbourne 380 23.4 4,854 04.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,621 114,885 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 3rd count: Ketas's 2,008 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Turner 580 28.9 10,228 08.9 Vitnell 176 08.8 42,802 37.3 Swanson * 315 15.7 47,235 41.1 Ihlein 341 17.0 9,170 08.0 Olbourne 596 29.7 5,450 04.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 2,008 114,885 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 4th count: Olbourne's 5,450 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Turner 3,552 65.2 13,780 12.0 Vitnell 590 10.8 43,392 37.8 Swanson * 555 10.2 47,790 41.6 Ihlein 753 13.8 9,923 08.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 5,450 114,885 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 5th count: Ihlein's 9,923 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Turner 1,316 13.3 15,096 13.1 Vitnell 1,144 11.5 44,936 38.8 Swanson * 7,463 75.2 55,253 48.1 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 9,923 114,885 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 6th count: Turner's 15,096 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Vitnell 9,102 60.3 53,638 46.7 SWANSON * 5,994 39.7 61,247 53.3 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 15,096 114,885 03.3 01.8 to Lib -------------------------------------------------------------------- Meryl Jane Swanson (born 1970): Elected 2016, 2019, 2022 -------------------------------------------------------------------- ELECTION OF 3 MAY 2025 ==================================================================== North Central NSW: Maitland, Neith, Nelson Bay, Raymond Terrace, Rutherford -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2022 two-candidate majority: Labor over Liberal 03.3 Effect of 2024 redistribution: 00.7 to Liberal 2025 notional two-candidate majority: Labor over Liberal 02.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Enrolled voters: 127,926 -03.1 Votes cast: 118,661 92.8 +01.1 Informal votes: 9,957 08.4 +03.4 Formal votes: 108,704 91.6 -03.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Candidate Party Votes % Swing -------------------------------------------------------------------- Rod Holding 1,360 01.3 Meryl Swanson * Labor 40,290 37.1 -03.0 Arnon Wither PHON 8,254 07.6 -00.3 Philip Penfold 10,565 09.7 Paul Johns Grn 8,219 07.6 -00.1 Laurence Antcliff Lib 29,602 27.2 -10.3 Sandra Briggs FFA 2,205 02.0 April Scott 1,220 01.1 Peter Arena ToP 2,766 02.5 -01.4 Daniel Dryden L Cann 4,223 03.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 108,704 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2nd count: Scott's 1,220 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Holding 217 17.8 1,577 01.5 Swanson * 154 12.6 40,444 37.2 Wither 42 03.4 8,296 07.6 Penfold 225 18.4 10,790 09.9 Johns 255 20.9 8,474 07.8 Antcliff 56 04.6 29,658 27.3 Briggs 75 06.2 2,280 02.1 Arena 58 04.8 2,824 02.6 Dryden 138 11.3 4,361 04.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,220 108,704 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 3rd count: Holding's 1,577 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Swanson * 547 34.7 40,991 37.7 Wither 185 11.7 8,481 07.8 Penfold 482 30.6 11,272 10.4 Johns 92 05.8 8,566 07.9 Antcliff 69 04.4 29,727 27.4 Briggs 62 03.9 2,342 02.2 Arena 34 02.2 2,858 02.6 Dryden 106 06.7 4,467 04.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 1,577 108,704 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 4th count: Briggs's 2,342 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Swanson * 173 07.4 41,164 37.9 Wither 1,030 44.0 9,511 08.8 Penfold 290 12.4 11,562 10.6 Johns 127 05.4 8,693 08.0 Antcliff 287 12.3 30,014 27.6 Arena 239 10.2 3,097 02.9 Dryden 196 08.4 4,663 04.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 2,342 108,704 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 5th count: Arena's 3,097 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Swanson * 301 09.7 41,465 38.1 Wither 1,055 34.1 10,566 09.7 Penfold 496 16.0 12,058 11.1 Johns 117 03.8 8,810 08.1 Antcliff 402 13.0 30,416 28.0 Dryden 726 23.4 5,389 05.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 3,097 108,704 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 6th count: Dryden's 5,389 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Swanson * 1,208 22.4 42,673 39.3 Wither 952 17.7 11,518 10.6 Penfold 1,092 20.3 13,150 12.1 Johns 1,269 23.6 10,079 09.3 Antcliff 868 16.1 31,284 28.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 5,389 108,704 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 7th count: Johns's 10,079 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Swanson * 6,916 68.6 49,589 45.6 Wither 669 06.6 12,187 11.2 Penfold 1,846 18.3 14,996 13.8 Antcliff 648 06.4 31,932 29.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 10,079 108,704 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 8th count: Wither's 12,187 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- Swanson * 2,040 16.7 51,629 47.5 Penfold 5,489 45.0 20,485 18.8 Antcliff 4,658 38.2 36,590 33.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 12,187 108,704 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 9th count: Penfold's 20,485 votes distributed -------------------------------------------------------------------- SWANSON * 10,212 49.9 61,841 56.9 Antcliff 10,273 50.1 46,863 43.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total 20,485 108,704 06.9 04.3 to ALP -------------------------------------------------------------------- Meryl Jane Swanson (born 1970): Elected 2016, 2019, 2022, 2025 --------------------------------------------------------------------